Germany
Source:
caucasuswatch.de Iran’s formal accession to BRICS+ in 2024 represented an important diplomatic signal — the culmination of Tehran’s long-standing efforts to align more closely with emerging economies outside the Western sphere. The move was widely interpreted as an attempt to strengthen Iran’s global relevance, diversify economic partnerships, and gain political legitimacy amid continued sanctions.
While membership has given Iran a broader platform for dialogue, the material benefits remain limited. This article examines the economic and geopolitical implications of Iran’s BRICS+ membership, with a particular focus on its effects in the South Caucasus, where overlapping transport corridors and political dynamics shape regional connectivity.
1. The Nature of BRICS+: Cooperation Without IntegrationThe expanded BRICS grouping — comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the UAE — collectively represents about 40% of global GDP (PPP) and over 40% of the world’s population (
BRICS Portal, 2025).
Despite its impressive scope, BRICS+ remains a consultative platform rather than an integrated economic union. It lacks a common currency, trade policy, or collective sanctions mechanism. Its main financial body, the New Development Bank, lends selectively and has shown caution toward high-risk or sanctioned economies such as Iran.
According to Professor Heinz Gärtner, political scientist at the University of Vienna and Senior Research Advisor at the International Institute for Peace,
“BRICS+ provides Iran with visibility and networking opportunities, but not with institutional protection or direct economic relief.”The comparison with Iran’s earlier membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) in 2023 is instructive. Like the SCO, BRICS+ enhances Iran’s diplomatic presence but stops short of altering its macroeconomic realities.
2. Economic Outcomes: Sanctions and Structural DependenceIran continues to operate within the constraints of U.S. and reactivated U.N. sanctions, which limit its access to global finance and technology. Oil remains its primary source of income.
- Oil exports averaged 1.63 million barrels per day in the first half of 2025 (Iran Oil & Gas), primarily sold to China.
- Petroleum-product exports fell by 25% (≈ US $ 2.5 billion) between March and August 2025 (Trend.az).
- Inflation remains around 40–42%, while the rial continues to depreciate (IMF World Economic Outlook 2025).
The persistence of secondary sanctions discourages even sympathetic partners from deepening cooperation. As Professor Gärtner notes:
“Most states prefer limited engagement with Iran to avoid exposure to secondary sanctions. BRICS+ membership does not remove that risk.”While Tehran emphasizes alternative payment mechanisms using local currencies (yuan, ruble, dirham), such arrangements remain small in volume and heavily dependent on the policies of partner states.
3. Regional Dimension: The South Caucasus in Iran’s StrategyIran’s regional policy views the South Caucasus as a key transit and security zone connecting the Persian Gulf with the Black Sea and Eurasian markets. The International North–South Transport Corridor (INSTC) is central to this vision. Studies of the corridor estimate that it can cut shipping time between India and Russia from roughly 45–60 days (via the Suez Canal) to about 25–30 days, and lower transport costs by around 30%, by shifting cargo to a 7,200 km multimodal route linking Indian ports, Iran, the Caspian basin, and Russia.
(World Bank via Debuglies).
Armenia: A Cooperative PartnerFor Armenia, Iran offers a route toward diversification and greater connectivity. Bilateral trade reached US $ 370 million in 2022 (
Trading Economics), mainly in electricity, construction materials, and gas exchange. The two governments continue discussing transport and energy initiatives that could strengthen Armenia’s north–south links.
Armenia’s approach remains pragmatic: cooperation with Iran complements, rather than replaces, partnerships with the EU, U.S., and India. This multi-vector policy allows Yerevan to pursue infrastructure modernization while maintaining regional stability.
Azerbaijan: Parallel Connectivity StrategiesRelations between Iran and Azerbaijan remain marked by cautious cooperation and underlying sensitivities. Both countries support trade and energy exchanges, but their corridor priorities differ:
- Iran promotes north–south connectivity through its own territory (INSTC).
- Azerbaijan focuses on east–west links between the Caspian, Türkiye, and Europe.
These strategies are not inherently contradictory; they represent differing economic orientations. Tehran’s influence over the design of regional corridors, however, remains modest. External actors — particularly the U.S., EU, and Russia — continue to shape major infrastructure and energy decisions.
As Gärtner observes:
“Iran’s role in the South Caucasus is that of a participant, not a driver. The region has become a space of shared influence among multiple powers.”4. External Dynamics: Russia and China as Selective PartnersWithin BRICS+, Russia and China remain Iran’s most significant partners, but both act according to their own strategic and economic interests.
- China maintains a risk-averse policy, focusing on stable oil imports and gradual investments under the Belt and Road framework.
- Russia, facing its own sanctions, demonstrates greater political alignment with Tehran and may expand cooperation in nuclear energy, logistics, and infrastructure.
Yet neither Moscow nor Beijing is willing to substitute for Western financial access or absorb secondary sanctions risks on Iran’s behalf. The partnerships are therefore instrumental rather than transformative.
5. Future ProspectsIran’s BRICS+ membership demonstrates diplomatic persistence but does not fundamentally alter its economic constraints. The country has gained access to dialogue, not structural integration. Its ability to influence South Caucasus developments will depend less on its membership status and more on its capacity to deliver reliable connectivity, energy stability, and predictable partnerships.
For Armenia, cooperation with Iran remains a pragmatic component of diversification efforts. For Azerbaijan, BRICS+ expands Iran’s visibility but does not directly alter regional power dynamics. For Iran, the challenge is to convert symbolic participation into measurable outcomes — a task complicated by sanctions, limited financial transparency, and global risk perceptions.
As Professor Gärtner concludes:
“Iran’s return to high-level forums is significant, yet its influence remains conditional — dependent on its ability to manage external pressure and deliver internal reforms.”Contributed by Siranush Grigoryan, a Lecturer at Armenian National Polytechnic University.